• Chance of disease given a test and interval estimates of prevalence and test sensitivity and specificity. 
  Bayes interval calculator for medical tests
   

• Report on handling dependencies and correlations in risk assessments:
  http://www.ramas.com/depend.pdf
   

• Report on sensitivity analysis by, in terms of, and within probability bounds analysis:

       http://www.ramas.com/sensanal.pdf

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• Report on statistics for data with interval uncertainty:

       http://www.ramas.com/intstats.pdf 
 

• Report on propagating uncertainty through a black box function with a quadratic model:
  http://www.ramas.com/quadratic.pdf
   

• Report introducing probability boxes (p-boxes) and related structures: 
  SAND2002-4015.pdf
  extended version of this report http://www.ramas.com/unabridged.pdf
   

• Software for elicitation of probability distributions, p-boxes and Dempster−Shafer structures: 
  http://www.ramas.com/constructor
   

• Draft report on methods for outside-in uncertainty propagation through black boxes:
  http://www.ramas.com/outside_in.pdf
   

• Ferson, S., W.L. Oberkampf and L. Ginzburg. 2008. Model validation and predictive capability for the thermal challenge problem. Computer Methods in Applied Mechanics and Engineering 197: 2408−2430. Available at http://www.ramas.com/thermval.pdf.
   

• Ferson, S., L.R. Ginzburg and H.R. Akçakaya. 2003. Whereof one cannot speak: when input distributions are unknown. http://www.ramas.com/whereof.pdf.